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 Politics Archive 2016

The New Yorkers won the New York primary
by Nathan'ette Burdine: April 26, 2016 

The New Yorkers won the New York primary last Tuesday night. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton beat her democratic opponent, Senator Bernie Sanders, 58% to 42% and gained 139 of the 291 delegates in the process. Sanders received 108 delegates.

On the Republican side, business mogul and lifelong New Yorker Donald Trump railroaded Ohio Gov. John Kasich and Senator Ted Cruz. Trump received 60% to Kasich’s 25.1% and Cruz’s 14.5%.

The business mogul and lifelong New Yorker walked away with 89 of the 95 delegates. Kasich received 4 delegates, while Cruz, whose dismal showing was most likely due to his “New York values” comment, received no delegates.

Unfortunately for Sanders, Kasich, and Cruz, the odds were stacked against them from the beginning.

Not only did they have to deal with the fact that Clinton and Trump are the home town favorites, but they [Sanders, Kasich, and Cruz] had to deal with the fact that their base would not have the highest turnout at the polls.

New York had a closed primary which meant that unlike the states of Michigan and Wisconsin, which had open primaries, Democrats could not crossover and vote for Republicans and vice versa.

This placed candidates like Sanders and Cruz, who’ve won in several open primary states, at a disadvantage because they could not count on the support of crossover voters to help them make up the deficit they had with their respective parties’ base.

Compared to other states that have had closed primaries, New York had the highest number of voters who identified as either Democrat or Republican.

CNN reported that 83% of voters identified as Democrats, while 74% of voters identified as Republicans. Clinton won the core groups, women and minority voters, within her party.

She received 61% of the women vote and 67% of the minority vote. The Republican Party’s base includes white men and white evangelicals.

Both groups supported Trump overwhelmingly. The win has placed Clinton and Trump in a position to say that they have a clear path to victory.

Clinton has 1,954 of the 2,383 delegates needed in order to clinch the nomination, while Trump has 846 of the 1,237 delegates needed to become his party’s presidential nominee.

Both front-runners are well ahead of their respective opponents who are all promising to take their fight to the convention floor.

Sanders has 1,241 delegates, Cruz has 563 delegates, and Kasich has 147 delegates. It is an understatement to say that the math is not in Sanders, Cruz, or Kasich’s favor.

In order for any of them to win, they would have to win the next states by large margins and convince the delegates that they should vote for them instead of the two frontrunners.

But if the race continues to go anything like it did last Tuesday, the chances of the latter happening is slim to none.

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