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 Politics Archive 2014

A new Kentucky poll gives Mitch McConnell
some good news and some bad news
by Nathan'ette Burdine: September 10, 2014

After Bluegrass released its poll results, Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) received some good news and some bad news.

According to the Bluegrass poll McConnell has a four point lead, 46% to 42%, over his Democratic opponent Allison Lundergan Grimes.

The good news is that McConnell has expanded his two point lead to four points. McConnell maintains a double-digit lead among men, and he is closing the gap among women voters.

According to the Bluegrass poll, McConnell leads Grimes 48% to 38% among men. And among women, Grimes holds a slight one percentage point lead, 45% to 44%, over McConnell.

Another bit of good news for McConnell is that the Bluegrass poll shows him getting 25% of the Democratic vote, which should be going to Grimes, and the Republican support for McConnell has increased by seven percentage points from 72% to 79%.

As for the bad news, McConnell’s four percentage point lead is within the Bluegrass poll’s margin of error, 4.2 percentage points.

So, he is statistically tied with Grimes. Then there are the large number of people in Kentucky who just don’t like him.

According to the Bluegrass poll, 36% of Kentuckians have a favorable view of McConnell compared to 46% who have an unfavorable view of him.

Also, the Bluegrass poll was taken before his campaign manager, Jesse Benton, resigned a midst questions about his involvement in an alleged election scandal in Iowa and before a recording surfaced of McConnell vowing to get rid of everything from student loans to minimum wage.

This last bit may be the worst news yet for McConnell due to the fact, according to the Bluegrass poll, that the economy is the top issue for Kentuckians and McConnell holds a razor thin lead, 40% to 38%, over Grimes on the question of who will be better for the economy.

So after the next poll is released, McConnell could easily see his four percentage point lead dwindle down to him being four percentage points or greater behind.

SurveyUSA conducted the poll on behalf of the Lexington Herald-Leader, WKYT-TV, WHAS 11-TV, and the Courier-Journal. The poll included 700 Kentuckian adults who were contacted, via phone, from August 25, 2014, to August 27, 2014.

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