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 Politics Archive 2016

Yep, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton will be their parties' presidential nominees
by Nathan'ette Burdine: March 7, 2016 

Yep, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are on their way to being their respective parties’ presidential nominees.

The common thread linking Trump and Clinton is the fact that they have won and lost many of the same states and are leading in the delegate count.

Some of the states they’ve won are South Carolina, Nevada, Alabama, Georgia, Virginia, and Louisiana. And some of the states they’ve lost include Oklahoma, Minnesota, and Maine.

The key differences between the states that Trump and Clinton won and the states they lost are that the states they won are more diverse, heavily populated, and therefore have more electoral votes.

And a person cannot become the next president of the United States if he/she is unable to get 270 electoral votes, i.e., Bush vs. Gore 2000. As for the delegate count, Clinton has 1,120 delegates to Sen. Bernie Sanders 476 delegates.

It must be noted that Clinton’s delegate count includes Super delegates.

Trump is leading his pack with 374 delegates. Sen. Ted Cruz comes in second with 293 delegates, while Sen. Marco Rubio is pulling in at third place with 146 delegates. Gov. John Kasich is holding on at the rear with 34 delegates.

The number of states won and the delegate count makes it quite clear that the other candidates have a long ways to go before they can stop Trump and Clinton from being their respective parties’ presidential nominees.

For their part, Trump and Clinton continue to win states with a larger number of delegates, i.e., Super Tuesday and Saturday elections.

Sen. Ted Cruz is the only candidate, on either side, who’s not a front runner and who has won a large state.

Cruz won his home state of Texas on Super Tuesday. But even with the win in Texas and other wins along the way, Cruz, like the other candidates, is having trouble stopping Trump from reaching the magical number of 1,237 delegates.

The only way Cruz and the other Republican presidential candidates can stop Trump from getting the 1,237 delegates needed in order to clinch the nomination before the convention is by staying in the race and winning smaller states.

For now, the strategy is working. However, the chances that the strategy will continue to work grow dimmer as the candidates go into bigger states and winner takes all states where Trump continues to lead the pack.

The same is also true for the Democrats. Although Sanders has won 8 states, the question for him is if he can win bigger and more diverse states.

So far, Sanders hasn’t been able to get enough of the minority vote to pull him over the hump in Southern states like South Carolina, Virginia, and Louisiana.

His next biggest test comes on Tuesday when Democrats vote in Michigan. Michigan has a large black American population that is heavily centered in Detroit.

Based on the recent poll results, Sanders is behind Clinton. According to a recent poll released by Monmouth University, Clinton leads Sanders in Michigan by 13 percentage points.

This is good news for Sanders, considering the fact that other polls have shown Clinton leading by as much as 30 percentage points.

Sanders has spent quite some time in Michigan, specifically in Flint where the water crisis occurred. There was also a debate on Saturday, which Sanders won. If, by some chance, Sanders is able to make a comeback in Michigan, he can change the game and be on his way to being the Democratic Presidential Nominee.

For Sanders, a Michigan win will mean that he can win the minority vote. And if he does that, he can change the dynamics of the race and possibly make a go for it in states like Florida and Ohio; which will surely help him to make a case for why he should be the party’s presidential nominee.

But until that time, he, along with the other candidates, have to take the race day-by-day and wait to see what happens.

Because as it stands, Trump and Clinton have the ball in their court and the chances are they will be the last ones standing on the start line on the road to the White House.

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